Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.143835 0.163608 0.185524 0.211687 0.242163 0.276652 0.318793
2026-01-11 0.112972 0.139393 0.171546 0.213870 0.268591 0.337589 0.432189
2026-01-18 0.096085 0.125756 0.164419 0.219181 0.295865 0.401112 0.559440
2026-01-25 0.083185 0.113982 0.156327 0.219914 0.314921 0.454792 0.682386
2026-02-01 0.073371 0.104438 0.149118 0.219618 0.330999 0.505345 0.809574
2026-02-08 0.065234 0.095927 0.141807 0.217389 0.342814 0.550190 0.935777
2026-02-15 0.058541 0.088587 0.135058 0.214623 0.352651 0.592595 1.065857
2026-02-22 0.054554 0.084865 0.133324 0.219481 0.375657 0.661110 1.258922
2026-03-01 0.049653 0.079068 0.127437 0.216261 0.383514 0.702943 1.408507
2026-03-08 0.046035 0.074966 0.123844 0.216461 0.397468 0.758500 1.599654
2026-03-15 0.042834 0.071215 0.120387 0.216344 0.410596 0.814456 1.805264
2026-03-22 0.040723 0.069130 0.119611 0.221109 0.434114 0.896367 2.093475
2026-03-29 0.038445 0.066573 0.117790 0.223776 0.454143 0.975606 2.400873
2026-04-05 0.036405 0.064260 0.116185 0.226698 0.475323 1.062153 2.755424
2026-04-12 0.034889 0.062771 0.115982 0.232481 0.503898 1.172605 3.213982
2026-04-19 0.032972 0.060325 0.113624 0.233283 0.520936 1.257676 3.625964
2026-04-26 0.031123 0.057843 0.110929 0.232969 0.535203 1.338594 4.053833
2026-05-03 0.029250 0.055146 0.107521 0.230585 0.543888 1.406184 4.462196
2026-05-10 0.027495 0.052540 0.104054 0.227626 0.550616 1.469811 4.881420
2026-05-17 0.026579 0.051580 0.104009 0.232823 0.580008 1.607667 5.637230
2026-05-24 0.025040 0.049190 0.100611 0.229378 0.585051 1.671710 6.127920
2026-05-31 0.023902 0.047561 0.098760 0.229592 0.600579 1.773422 6.824092
2026-06-07 0.022824 0.045978 0.096867 0.229467 0.615161 1.875897 7.574070